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A Shift Is Underway: Evidence of Buyer's Turn in Nashville

Economy February 5, 2026

A Shift Is Underway: Evidence of a New Reality in Nashville Real Estate

 

 

You don't need a press release to see it. If you are watching the daily activity in Nashville, Franklin or Brentwood, the evidence is already mounting. On February 2, 2026, The Wall Street Journal (read article linked below) put a nationwide number to what we are seeing on the ground: "Nearly two-thirds of home buyers last year purchased at a discount to the original listing price." Specifically, 62% of sales involved a price cut, the highest rate since 2019. The average discount? Around 8%.
 
The market hasn't crashed, but it has undeniably turned. We are seeing a distinct gap form between what sellers want (2021 pricing) and what buyers are willing to pay (2026 reality). If you are entering the market this month, you cannot ignore this shift.
 
If you are just reading the headlines, this looks like bad news. But in real estate, data isn't good or bad, it is simply a map. And if the map changes, you have to change your route. Here is what the Buyer's Swing actually means for our market in Greater Nashville and Williamson County, and the specific strategies savvy players are using to win anyway.
 

 

 

 

 

 

The Days on Market Danger Zone 

 

The WSJ notes that we now have a gap between what sellers expect and what buyers will pay. When that gap exists, homes sit. And when homes sit in a buyer-favored market, they get stigmatized.

 

In a shifting market, time is your enemy. When a home in Williamson or Davidson County sits on the MLS for 21 days without an offer, the narrative changes. Buyers assume the seller is growing desperate. They see the Days on Market counter ticking up, and they wait for the inevitable price drop.

 

The Counter-Move: The Soft Launch 

Smart sellers in 2026 are refusing to practice on the public market. Instead of going straight to the MLS, we are using a Soft Launch strategy (technically known as a Private Exclusive).

 

This allows us to:

 

  • Test the Price: We share the listing privately with top agents first.
  • Protect the History: If the market says the price is too high, we adjust it before the public ever sees it.
  • Preserve Leverage: When we do hit the MLS, you appear as a fresh, new listing. Not a stale one.

 

The data backs this up: Listings that are pre-marketed this way sell for 2.9% more on average, simply because they avoided the stale listing discount.

 

 

🔗 BillDiebenow.com - Private Exclusive Seller

 

 

 

 

 

The Shadow Inventory Opportunity 

 

The WSJ quotes a buyer who said, "This is the best environment that I think I’ve been in as a buyer so far." He is right. You have more leverage than you’ve had in years.

 

But there is a catch. While inventory is up, the best homes, the ones in the best school zones with the best finishes, are still competitive. Many of them are trading in the Shadow Market (off-market inventory) before they ever reach Zillow.

 

The Strategy: Stop Looking at Leftovers. If you are only searching public websites, you are missing up to 25% of the available inventory. These are homes being shared agent-to-agent before the general public sees them.

 

  • The Benefit: You get a first look at properties before the bidding wars start.
  • The Win: You can negotiate terms (like inspections and repairs) in a quieter environment.

 

 

🔗 BillDiebenow.com - Private Exclusive Buyer

 

 

 

The Bottom Line

 

The market has reset. We are navigating a critical window where leverage has shifted and interest rates hovering near 6% have created a new set of rules. In this environment, average is dangerous. If you are selling, you cannot afford to let your listing sit and grow stale. If you are buying, you cannot afford to miss the hidden inventory that never makes it to the portals.

 

Whether you need to protect your price or find your next home, the theme for 2026 is clear: Do not rely on the public market alone. The standard activities of yesteryear will not yield the results you want in the reality of today.

 

 

🔗 WSJ.com - The Housing Market Is Swinging Toward Buyers

 

 

Connect with Bill Diebenow:

 

📞 Call/Text: 615-337-3660 

📧 Email: [email protected]

🌐 Website: https://billdiebenow.com

🏢 Compass RE: 4031 Aspen Grove Dr Ste #400, Franklin, TN 37067

 

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Work With Bill

Bill's real estate experience spans residential and commercial transactions as an agent, buyer, seller, investor, tenant, landlord, and cross-county corporate relocation. Bill looks forward to understanding your needs, building your trust, and helping you successfully sell your existing home, find your new home, or add to your real estate portfolio.